Many of us have heard the saying ‘Well, if you don’t like the weather now, wait 5 minutes and it will change”. While this saying is probably not accurate in most situations, weather does change often and in some cases its due to meso-scale weather phenomenon. Meso-scale refers to the size of the weather phenomenon, which is generally a few miles up to several hundred miles. For this presentation the weather phenomenons that occur on the smaller side will be explored. This will include lake effect snow events, localized blowing snow events, and freezing drizzle/rain events among other high impactful winter maintenance weather events. Contrary to popular belief, lake event snow events can be predicted with a high level of confidence, at least from the occurrence of an event. One of the biggest issues is where will lake effect snow will occur. There are places within the United States that are logical locations for lake effect snow events but many locations will receive lake effect snow in convective type snow showers. This means snow will occur, with high snow rates, for a short duration of time. These snow showers can make winter maintenance decision making very difficult. In highly traveled locations it can also present travelers with dangerous travel conditions. This presentation will cover the conditions needed for lake effect snow events and how maintenance decision makers can analyze a forecast to make the best decision possible. Details of local blowing snow events and freezing rain/drizzle events will also be discussed. Case studies depicting the challenges of forecasting these situations will be presented and how maintenance supervisors can review these weather forecasts for their operations.

Contributor/Source

Ben Hershey;Leah Daily Jones